4 Comments

Uhh ez jöhetne magyarul is ha lehet. Úgy könnyebben osztható és rég láttam ennyire szépen összeszedve és egyszerűen elmagyarázva.

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Re Keleti, I would add two details:

1. Lázár dismissed not only the buying of new locomotives, but several big projects, one of which would have involved the renovation of the rails and switches around Keleti.

2. Keleti is not only “one of the three main railway stations of Budapest”: it is the biggest one, terminus of almost all intercity trains.

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These big projects mostly deal with missed maintenance, but are usually marketed as development (to get EU funds)

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In my opinion:

* It can be seen that Orbán and his circle

(1) They don't want to relinquish power.

(2) They will do everything in their power out of self-defense to hold on until the very end.

(3) They are relying on some kind of - not explicitly defined - miracle.

(4) If the collapse becomes irrevocable and inevitable (irreversibly unavoidable), they will leave the country.

* The country could face three types of collapse scenarios:

(1) Explicit: For example, failure to meet foreign currency payment obligations on time. This would immediately trigger uncontrollable processes that cannot be managed, no matter the propaganda, and would be evident to all. À la Argentina. The Hungarian population has built up a significant tolerance potential, but perhaps not as much as the Russian or South American populations, particularly in terms of mass violence.

(2) Massive dissatisfaction reaching a critical level (when the frog will irrevocably die in the boiling water). This could be triggered by anything:

- Hyperinflation (which will be more severe now because it won’t follow wartime conditions but rather wasted years of peace).

- Depletion of national reserves to such an extent that even the daily, severely reduced operations cannot be maintained due to chaos.

- Critical signs of collapse becoming more evident and affecting large numbers of people.

- When a critical number of families' children do not have enough to eat (the lowest physical level of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs is severely compromised).

(3) Unforeseen black swan event.

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